It’s easy to pore over the NFL draft prospects and think “maybe they get this guy in this round, that guy in the next round and this guy in the round after that.” The issue with doing that is it ignores the certainty of the draft shaking out differently than we expect. What if the Patriots, who pick 15th, see that the No. 5 player on their board is there at 10? What if they pick at 15 and another player they considered with that pick is still there at No. 29?